Discussion Paper No.172 of 2014 on Effects of Mixed Traffic on Road Traffic Deaths in Kenya

Abstract

This study seeks to establish the significance of mixed traffic on road traffic deaths in Kenya. Eradication of road traffic deaths is a priority for the Government of Kenya because it imposes socio-economic costs on individuals and the society, including loss of source of livelihood, grief and suffering, loss of productivity, and diversion of resources. The role of mixed traffic in exposure to risk is less analyzed in developing countries. The study used cross-sectional data obtained from a survey conducted by the Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis in 2012. Multinomial logit results for a sample of 612 observations established that buses, lorries, motor cycles and pedestrians increase incidences of death in road traffic crashes. In addition, alcohol, night time and higher speed limits increase incidences of deaths in road traffic crashes. On the other hand, road junctions and use of seat belts reduce incidences of deaths in road traffic crashes. This study recommends establishment of Public Service Obligation and Level of Service arrangements in the public transport system; tightening compliance on use of safety belts in both public and private vehicles; redesign of roads and intersections; continuous review of speed limits; establishment of rescue centres along road traffic crash hot spots; revocation of driving licenses; and introduction of in-vehicle alcohol interlocks to deter drunken driving.