dc.description.abstract | Climate change has implications on agricultural production. This study examined
the effects of climate change on maize yield in Kenya using annual time series data
for the period 1961-2020. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was
used in the estimations. The key findings from the study indicate that precipitation
is one of the most important factors influencing maize production in the country.
Water deficit with the combination of high temperature, which is a proxy for
climate change, has a negative and significant effect on maize production while
high precipitation is positively associated with maize yield. The study recommends
a number of interventions to mitigate the effects of climate change on maize yield in
Kenya. First, enhanced investment in irrigated agriculture both by the National and
County governments with support from the private sector and other stakeholders.
This would include completion of the various irrigation schemes in the country,
such as the Galana Kulalu, to increase maize production in the arid and semi-arid
lands (ASALs). Secondly, enhanced investment in water harvesting and storm water
management initiatives are needed, while supporting sustainable and climate-smart
agriculture in the country. Thirdly, dedicated efforts towards adoption of improved
agricultural technology, including maize seeds and management approaches (such
as appropriate tillage, and agricultural water management) to cope with climate
change. This, coupled with investment in Early Warning Systems, will enhance the
resilience of farmers in adapting and mitigating the effects of climate change in
the country. Lastly, intensify extension services and investment in maize research
through research institutions such as Kenya Agricultural Livestock and Research
Organization (KALRO) in fast-maturing and drought resistant maize varieties. | en |